Monitoring, risk assessment,
and early-warning projects
In order to prevent atrocities, situations of insecurity must be monitored and analyzed. Multiple projects do precisely this, monitoring warning indicators and risks through atrocity prevention frameworks and tools.
(for a more in-depth overview, check out this post here)
Asia-Pacific Centre for the Responsibility to Protect (APR2P) - Early Warning Risk Assessments
Series of reports by APR2P based on research following the UN Framework for Atrocity Crimes. These reports highlight situations of insecurity with the potential for atrocity crimes to be committed as well as currently ongoing atrocities, with each report featuring a specific country. Past reports have investigated Myanmar, Fiji, Bangladesh, Papua New Guinea, Vanuatu, Cambodia, Hong Kong, and more.
US Holocaust Memorial Museum – Early Warning Project
Research-driven risk assessment of atrocity crimes worldwide, developed by the US Holocaust Memorial Museum. By researching contexts worldwide where violence can happen or is currently ongoing, the project produces a ranked list and an interactive map of which countries are prone to or in the midst of mass atrocities. Click here for more in-depth information. (Note: The project focuses on internal rather than cross-country violence, and thus ignores mass killings in Ukraine and Palestine.)
Series of overviews by APR2P concerning the implementation of R2P in the Asia-Pacific region. Guided by the UN Framework for Atrocity Crimes, these outlooks focus on both specific countries and specific topics, such as sexual and gender-based violence. The documents produced provide information and recommendations for each region or topic investigated at local and international levels.
Global Centre for R2P - R2P Monitor/Populations at Risk
Monitoring effort by the GlobalR2P Centre to apply an atrocity prevention lens to situations of insecurity. Atrocity risk is acknowledged and visualized by addressing the background and recent developments of escalating violence and discrimination, so that an analysis of risk indicators can inform concrete risk assessments and preventive action suggestions. The R2P Monitor reports disseminate such research. Click here for more in-depth information.
Minority Rights Group - Peoples under Threat
Series of reports and monitoring data concerning the risk of genocide for minorities around the globe. Carried out by Minority Rights Group, an international NGO focused on human rights, such research uses statistical data on democracy, conflict, discrimination, and prior genocides to map and rank countries at risk. Their latest report was published in 2021.
Global conflict tracker by the NGO Crisis Group, updating every month and monitoring over 70 situations of insecurity. Since 2005, the monthly updates attest whether a situation of insecurity has improved, deteriorated, or neither improved of deteriorated, and the resulting data is effectively reported with an interactive map.
NGO developing an early-warning and risk assessment monitoring tool for the prevention of atrocities. Although mainly operating in Burma, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Kenya, South Sudan, and Uganda, they continuously track Situations of Concern (SOCs) and assess atrocity vulnerabilities and risks.
Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS)
Research consortium between the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) and Uppsala University for the study and prediction of the risk of violence. This coalition connects three distinct projects: the political Violence Early-Warning System (ViEWS) and the interdisciplinary conflict impact projects ANTICIPATE and Societies at Risk.